We structured the LIFE Prognoses project into distinct work packages, each addressing a key aspect of old-growth forest research and conservation.
The first work package focused on the realisation of maps of old-growth forests in Europe. Before producing the maps, we developed criteria and methods to ensure a consistent approach across countries.
The second work package concentrated on identifying and assessing the benefits of old-growth forests, commonly referred to as ecosystem services. These include biodiversity, carbon storage, recreation, and cultural values.
The third work package centred on communication and awareness-raising about old-growth forests in Europe, targeting both experts and the wider public.
Each work package was implemented through a series of coordinated actions undertaken by the project partners. Together, these efforts contributed to achieving the project’s objectives over its four-year duration.
More details about our actions
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WP A.1.1: Definition of old growth forest and development of methods
- Action A.1.11: Definition of old growth forest
A comprehensive document with definitions, criteria, indicators, and thresholds for old-growth beech forests was developed. In June 2021, INBO drafted a preliminary 40-page report with over 70 scientific references, which was shared with partners for feedback. The report reviewed existing definitions of primary and old-growth forests and proposed criteria, indicators, threshold values, and methods to assess and score old-growth status. The final document, delivered in early 2022, was more detailed than initially planned.- Action A.1.12: Compilation of existing mapping products
The expected outcome was a set of GIS layers and descriptions of existing European mapping products. To avoid duplication of work, this task was postponed after consultation with DG-Environment, as a similar exercise had already been completed by the JRC (Barredo et al., 2021). The focus was therefore reoriented towards mapping the “quality of old-growthness” in test areas of WP2, rescheduled for the second half of 2023 after fieldwork was completed.
- Action A.1.13: Screening of remote-sensing-based mapping methods
A literature review was carried out on the use of remote sensing for identifying and mapping primary and old-growth forests. Different data sources were assessed for availability, accuracy, and cost. Scientific databases (Scopus, Web of Science) were screened, and selected studies were analysed. Results were compiled in a scientific review paper submitted to a peer-reviewed journal.
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WP A.1.2: Application of mapping methods on known or suspected old growth forests
- Action A.1.21: Field mapping and testing of indicators
Based on the developed criteria and indicators (A.1.11), a protocol was established for standardised field mapping of old-growth status. This protocol was tested at selected World Heritage sites and buffer zones across multiple biogeographic regions (Atlantic, Alpine, Continental, Mediterranean), including Sonian Forest (BE), NP Kalkalpen (AT), Krokar & Snežnik-Zdrocle (SI), Central Balkan NP (BG), Chornohora in Carpathian Biosphere Reserve (UA), NP Hainich and Kellerwald NP (DE), and Abruzzo NP (IT).
- Action A.1.22: Evaluation of existing datasets
Existing maps and reference plot data (A.1.12) were cross-checked with field results (A.1.21). In November 2021, the Abruzzo NP was visited to refine indicators and protocols. Following this, the list of indicators was finalised and an inventory form was drafted in December 2021. A training workshop for technical staff was organised in Slovenia in 2022 to harmonise methodologies, exchange expertise, and test indicator measurement techniques.
- Action A.1.23: Application of the remote sensing approach
A remote sensing methodology was developed, tested, and calibrated to distinguish managed from old-growth beech forests. It relied on satellite and airborne LiDAR data, considering cost-effectiveness and scalability. Application took place across several World Heritage components and adjacent habitats: Sonian Forest (BE), NP Kalkalpen (AT), NP Hainich (DE), Kellerwald NP (DE), Central Balkan NP (BG), Abruzzo NP (IT), and Carpathian Biosphere Reserve (UA). A scientific paper on the developed approach was prepared, along with methods for differentiating old-growth forests from managed stands.
- Action A.1.24: Evaluation of remote sensing results
Remote sensing outputs (A.1.23) were validated against field data (A.1.21) and existing datasets (A.1.12). The first tests covered at least 100,000 ha across four sites in three biogeographic regions. Statistical analyses quantified the accuracy of classifying forest naturalness (managed vs. old growth). Feedback from this evaluation was used to refine models, with final results published in a peer-reviewed article.
- Action A.1.25: Compilation of final results
This action consolidated all outputs of WP1 into a comprehensive state-of-knowledge report. The results provided a significant contribution to a European-wide, high-resolution map of old-growth forests. Given the importance of beech forests, these outputs formed a substantial part of Europe’s old-growth mapping efforts. The work was closely aligned with the DG-Environment and JRC initiative on old-growth inventory and mapping, ensuring complementarity and added value.
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Action A.2.01 Assessing the influence of forest management on microclimate
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Action A.2.02 Assessing the influence of forest management on carbon storage
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Action A.2.03 Assessing the influence of forest management on biodiversity
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Action A.2.04 Assessing the influence of forest management on recreation and tourism
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Action A.2.05 Collection and compilation of ecosystem information from test sites
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Action A.2.06 Calculation of ecosystem services for test sites
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Action B.3.01 Development of a communication and awareness raising strategy and implementation instruments
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Action B.3.02 Local and national awareness raising
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Action B.3.03 European awareness raising
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Action B.3.04 Networking with other European projects (visits to other LIFE projects)
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Action B.3.00 Project communication